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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.83+9.03vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+4.14vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+1.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+3.70vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.44+0.27vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.94+0.98vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41-1.50vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.67-4.33vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-1.83vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.56-3.00vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.15+2.68vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.23-7.01vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.76-0.70vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.76-1.59vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University0.59-2.35vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.72-3.52vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.32-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.03Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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4.16Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.27Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.0Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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14.68Maine Maritime Academy0.150.0%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.3University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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13.65Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.48Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasha Greenwood | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 17.3% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Fuehrer | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 36.3% |
| Rob Struckett | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 12.8% |
| William Kresic | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 13.2% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 14.6% |
| William Thalheimer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.