← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.27+1.92vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.47+2.92vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.64vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.40+1.07vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+2.81vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.07vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.20+3.03vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-0.36+2.73vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis0.95-2.72vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.56+0.95vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington0.18-2.18vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-0.39-0.96vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.77vs Predicted
-
14University of Texas0.41-6.19vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-0.38-4.59vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92University of Hawaii2.2729.0%1st Place
-
4.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.4711.9%1st Place
-
7.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.2%1st Place
-
5.07University of Southern California1.4011.1%1st Place
-
7.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.0%1st Place
-
4.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.7%1st Place
-
10.03Northwestern University-0.202.1%1st Place
-
10.73University of California at Irvine-0.361.4%1st Place
-
6.28University of California at Davis0.957.3%1st Place
-
10.95University of California at Berkeley-0.562.0%1st Place
-
8.82University of Washington0.183.3%1st Place
-
11.04Arizona State University-0.391.8%1st Place
-
12.23University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.8%1st Place
-
7.81University of Texas0.415.3%1st Place
-
10.41California State University Channel Islands-0.381.8%1st Place
-
14.41University of California at San Diego-2.050.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 29.0% | 23.5% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Luke Harris | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Clay Myers | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 5.5% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 5.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 6.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 14.3% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.