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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+3.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+4.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+2.46vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.44+1.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.91-0.96vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.23+0.11vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94-0.13vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.70-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-0.84vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83+0.32vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.76+1.38vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.32-1.22vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.76-0.73vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University0.59-1.24vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.72-2.65vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.56-8.90vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Tufts University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.15Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.42Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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4.04Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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6.11Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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11.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.320.0%1st Place
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13.27University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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13.76Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.35Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.1Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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14.71Maine Maritime Academy0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 14.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 12.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 19.1% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| William Kresic | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 14.3% |
| William Thalheimer | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 13.6% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 18.3% |
| Pierce Conlin | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Fuehrer | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.