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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+6.71vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.41+5.75vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+1.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.95+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.18+3.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.47-1.26vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-2.31vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.56-3.63vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.39+1.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.56-0.22vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.20-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.22vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.38-3.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.13vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.356.3%1st Place
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7.75University of Texas0.415.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Southern California1.4013.6%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Davis0.959.2%1st Place
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8.7University of Washington0.183.8%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.4714.4%1st Place
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4.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Hawaii1.5617.2%1st Place
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10.91Arizona State University-0.392.4%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.303.5%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Berkeley-0.561.8%1st Place
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9.64Northwestern University-0.203.7%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Irvine-0.362.1%1st Place
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10.48California State University Channel Islands-0.382.0%1st Place
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13.87University of California at San Diego-1.680.8%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Luke Harris | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 17.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 7.4% |
| Summer Drake | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| Owen Lubben | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Grace Richie | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 50.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.