← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.48+3.68vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.56+4.90vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.93+3.17vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.75+2.46vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.58vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.81+0.27vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.50-2.35vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.48-3.31vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College3.83-5.05vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin2.61-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.68Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.9Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.17University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.46Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
-
4.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
-
6.27Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
-
4.65Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
4.69Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
3.95Eckerd College3.830.2%1st Place
-
6.81University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Katherine Doble | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 23.3% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| Caroline Patten | 15.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Burke | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.1% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 17.8% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Christine Porter | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.