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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+5.91vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.23+2.99vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+0.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.15+1.10vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44-0.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.67-2.27vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.70-0.48vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94-1.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.56-2.01vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-1.67vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.59+0.71vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.72-0.60vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.32-3.04vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.41vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.76-3.64vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.76-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.2Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.49Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.71Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.4Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.320.0%1st Place
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14.59Maine Maritime Academy0.150.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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13.34University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Meleney | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 18.1% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 13.1% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 17.6% |
| Pierce Conlin | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 15.3% |
| William Thalheimer | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Allyson Fuehrer | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 34.4% |
| William Kresic | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 13.5% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.