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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon2.51+2.13vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.88+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.79-0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.10-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound0.36+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.46+0.89vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.84-1.69vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.99-3.05vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University1.52-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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3.75University of Washington2.100.2%1st Place
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6.88University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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6.31Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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5.95Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.92Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 22.0% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Erika Vranizan | 8.7% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Karl Haelsig | 29.8% | 23.6% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 15.5% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| David Eva | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 20.0% | 31.8% |
| Eliza Pearce | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 22.0% | 29.4% |
| Alex Lubben | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 17.1% |
| Ian Reeves | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 13.4% |
| Brian Hickman | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.