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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.95+5.09vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.56+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.47+1.53vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+3.77vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.41+1.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.56+3.72vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-3.20vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.20+1.01vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.18-1.32vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-2.31vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.38-1.52vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39-2.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-2.87vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09University of California at Davis0.958.7%1st Place
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4.21University of Hawaii1.5617.3%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.4715.9%1st Place
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7.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.5%1st Place
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4.76University of Southern California1.4014.2%1st Place
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7.77University of Texas0.414.5%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Berkeley-0.562.5%1st Place
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4.8California Poly Maritime Academy1.6214.0%1st Place
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10.01Northwestern University-0.202.2%1st Place
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8.68University of Washington0.184.2%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.303.5%1st Place
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10.48California State University Channel Islands-0.381.8%1st Place
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10.98Arizona State University-0.392.0%1st Place
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10.53University of California at Irvine-0.362.5%1st Place
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12.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.2%1st Place
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13.84University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dylan Wondolleck | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Trey Summers | 17.3% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Caleb Yoslov | 15.9% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Robert Bloomfield | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Luke Harris | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Reese Zebrowski | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
Victoria Chen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
Clay Myers | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Owen Lubben | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
Jaden Unruh | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
Summer Drake | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
Brandon Stadtherr | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
Sadie Hoberman | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 8.4% |
Nikita Swatek | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
Conrad Kistler | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
Grace Richie | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.