← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.79+1.71vs Predicted
-
2University of Oregon2.51+1.27vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University1.88+1.28vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon0.46+2.80vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.99+0.84vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University0.84+0.26vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington2.10-3.19vs Predicted
-
9University of Puget Sound0.36-1.92vs Predicted
-
10Oregon State University1.52-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
-
3.27University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
-
4.28Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
-
6.8University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
5.84Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
-
6.26Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
-
3.81University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
-
7.08University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
-
4.95Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 30.0% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 20.4% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.2% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 28.1% |
| Ian Reeves | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 13.6% |
| Alex Lubben | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 16.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 14.7% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| David Eva | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 20.3% | 35.5% |
| Brian Hickman | 9.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.