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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.10+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.51+0.26vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.88+0.30vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.99+1.04vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.84-0.57vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University1.52-2.83vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.46-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound1.26-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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4.16University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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3.26University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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4.3Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.04Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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6.43Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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5.17Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 28.5% | 23.7% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 11.0% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Philip Gordon | 22.3% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 18.3% |
| Alex Lubben | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 20.2% |
| Brian Hickman | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Eliza Pearce | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 38.3% |
| Mike Knape | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.