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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.56+3.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.47+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.95+2.18vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-0.23vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.64vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.20+2.00vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.18-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.41-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.56-0.12vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.38-1.59vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-1.73vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.12vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.36-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53University of Hawaii1.5616.4%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.4715.3%1st Place
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4.83University of Southern California1.4011.7%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Davis0.958.4%1st Place
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4.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.6214.6%1st Place
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7.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.356.8%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.1%1st Place
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10.0Northwestern University-0.202.5%1st Place
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8.8University of Washington0.183.6%1st Place
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7.75University of Texas0.415.0%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Berkeley-0.561.9%1st Place
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10.41California State University Channel Islands-0.382.0%1st Place
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10.93Arizona State University-0.392.6%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.7%1st Place
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13.88University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Irvine-0.361.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 11.7% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Owen Lubben | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 7.1% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 7.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 16.7% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 49.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.