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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon2.51+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound1.26+3.89vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.99+3.21vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.79-1.25vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.88-0.68vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University1.52-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Washington2.10-2.97vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.46-0.89vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.84-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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5.89University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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6.21Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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2.75University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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4.32Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.06Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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6.42Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 22.9% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mike Knape | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
| Ian Reeves | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 16.4% |
| Karl Haelsig | 28.8% | 24.7% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Erika Vranizan | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Brian Hickman | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 12.9% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 37.9% |
| Alex Lubben | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.