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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon2.51+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.79+0.83vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.88+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.10-0.23vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.99+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.36+1.05vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.84-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.46-2.07vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University1.52-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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2.83University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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4.28Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Washington2.100.2%1st Place
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5.82Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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6.29Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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4.92Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 23.3% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Karl Haelsig | 26.5% | 24.4% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 15.1% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Ian Reeves | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 13.5% |
| David Eva | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 32.7% |
| Alex Lubben | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 21.1% | 16.3% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 30.4% |
| Brian Hickman | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.