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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon2.51+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.10+0.82vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.88+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound0.36+1.89vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.99-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.46-1.03vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University1.52-4.06vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.84-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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3.28University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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3.82University of Washington2.100.2%1st Place
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4.18Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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5.94Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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4.94Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.24Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 28.3% | 24.3% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 19.2% | 22.4% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 15.2% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Erika Vranizan | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| David Eva | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 33.2% |
| Ian Reeves | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 12.2% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 30.4% |
| Brian Hickman | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Alex Lubben | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.