Race 10B

stoney-burke-co-ed-varsity

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Clay Myers 14.6% 11.4% 13.5% 13.8% 10.8% 9.9% 8.2% 5.9% 5.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Caleb Yoslov 13.3% 14.9% 13.0% 11.8% 11.1% 10.1% 7.8% 6.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Harris 14.1% 12.3% 12.5% 12.0% 10.7% 10.3% 7.8% 7.9% 5.1% 3.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Trey Summers 17.1% 15.1% 14.5% 12.0% 10.5% 9.2% 7.8% 5.1% 4.2% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Wondolleck 8.7% 9.2% 10.2% 9.1% 9.2% 7.8% 9.1% 8.1% 8.6% 7.1% 5.3% 3.9% 1.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Owen Lubben 3.2% 2.7% 3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 5.0% 5.3% 5.8% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 10.4% 10.3% 10.2% 8.0% 3.9%
Blake Roberts 4.7% 5.5% 5.4% 7.0% 8.1% 7.8% 9.6% 8.5% 9.1% 8.0% 8.2% 7.2% 5.1% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Robert Bloomfield 5.4% 5.7% 5.3% 6.6% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 8.5% 7.7% 8.9% 9.3% 6.5% 6.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Sadie Hoberman 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 3.1% 3.4% 2.8% 4.6% 6.0% 6.5% 8.0% 9.2% 13.0% 12.8% 14.2% 7.5%
Brandon Stadtherr 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 6.7% 8.6% 11.8% 10.9% 11.5% 10.5% 4.3%
Nikita Swatek 1.7% 2.5% 3.4% 2.2% 3.9% 3.5% 5.1% 4.8% 6.6% 6.8% 7.9% 8.9% 11.1% 14.2% 11.6% 5.9%
Grace Richie 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 3.3% 4.9% 5.7% 8.9% 13.2% 52.3%
Jaden Unruh 4.2% 5.2% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 5.5% 7.1% 7.8% 8.1% 9.9% 10.1% 8.8% 8.1% 4.9% 4.8% 1.1%
Reese Zebrowski 5.2% 6.2% 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 8.4% 8.8% 9.5% 8.0% 10.4% 7.6% 7.1% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Conrad Kistler 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 4.5% 6.0% 6.8% 8.0% 9.6% 12.2% 18.6% 17.3%
Victoria Chen 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 3.2% 3.4% 3.9% 3.8% 6.2% 5.7% 6.8% 8.9% 10.1% 10.8% 12.0% 13.4% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.