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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon2.51+0.94vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.79-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound1.26+1.36vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.84+1.02vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.88-2.00vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.46-0.23vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University1.52-3.18vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.99-3.15vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.63-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Oregon2.510.3%1st Place
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2.71University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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5.36University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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6.02Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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4.82Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.85Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 25.1% | 21.6% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Karl Haelsig | 28.2% | 24.5% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 7.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 18.2% |
| Erika Vranizan | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 28.3% |
| Brian Hickman | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Ian Reeves | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.4% |
| Molly Utter | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.