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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+1.56vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.88+2.22vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.84+3.17vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.99+1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon2.51-2.05vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University1.52-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.26-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.46-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.63-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.17Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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5.76Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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2.95University of Oregon2.510.3%1st Place
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4.74Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 31.9% | 25.3% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 9.5% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| Ian Reeves | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% |
| Philip Gordon | 26.1% | 24.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Brian Hickman | 8.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Mike Knape | 7.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| Eliza Pearce | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 31.6% |
| Molly Utter | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.