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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+4.68vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+4.87vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93+1.73vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38+0.03vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-0.02+3.98vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.73+0.02vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.37+0.91vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.45-3.26vs Predicted
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10Wake Forest University0.18-0.52vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.95-4.13vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+1.64vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.41-0.98vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-0.99vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.31vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.63-4.07vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.92-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68North Carolina State University1.5711.6%1st Place
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6.87Eckerd College0.856.9%1st Place
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3.78College of Charleston2.3820.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Miami1.9310.1%1st Place
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5.03Jacksonville University-1.3813.8%1st Place
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9.98Auburn University-0.022.8%1st Place
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7.02Clemson University0.736.7%1st Place
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8.91Florida State University0.374.0%1st Place
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5.74University of South Florida1.459.2%1st Place
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9.48Wake Forest University0.183.0%1st Place
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6.87Rollins College0.956.7%1st Place
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13.64Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.8%1st Place
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12.02The Citadel-0.410.6%1st Place
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13.01University of Central Florida-0.460.9%1st Place
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14.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.7%1st Place
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11.93Duke University-0.631.4%1st Place
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12.63University of North Carolina-0.921.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 20.0% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 13.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Milo Miller | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 21.7% |
| Henry Parker | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 13.3% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 39.4% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.