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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington1.69+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.19-0.01vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.61-0.05vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.62-1.08vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.20-2.99vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.76-1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.04-1.56vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.15-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Washington2.190.2%1st Place
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3.95Northwestern University1.610.1%1st Place
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3.92Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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3.01Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.32University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Oregon0.040.0%1st Place
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6.64Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Flanagan | 14.9% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Forcade | 24.0% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| George Powell | 13.3% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Ashley Vincent | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Casey Pruitt | 24.1% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 20.9% | 13.4% |
| Laura Marshall | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 26.7% | 37.2% |
| Carl Fixsen | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 25.9% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.