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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.56+3.32vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+2.77vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.95+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.47-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.56+4.87vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+0.72vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.20+0.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+2.09vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.18-2.47vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.38-1.67vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39-1.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.07vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.41-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32University of Hawaii1.5616.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Southern California1.4014.8%1st Place
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4.84California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.5%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Davis0.958.5%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.4714.0%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Berkeley-0.562.1%1st Place
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7.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.1%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.304.0%1st Place
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9.84Northwestern University-0.203.4%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Washington0.184.5%1st Place
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10.33California State University Channel Islands-0.383.1%1st Place
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11.03Arizona State University-0.392.0%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Irvine-0.362.2%1st Place
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13.93University of California at San Diego-1.680.6%1st Place
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7.79University of Texas0.416.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 16.1% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 14.0% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Summer Drake | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Owen Lubben | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 15.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 8.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Grace Richie | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 49.1% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.