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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.20+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.19+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.69+0.80vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.62-0.08vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.61-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.04+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.76-1.58vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.15-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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2.99University of Washington2.190.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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3.92Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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3.94Northwestern University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Oregon0.040.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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6.63Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Pruitt | 25.3% | 23.2% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Forcade | 23.8% | 22.0% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 14.1% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Ashley Vincent | 13.2% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| George Powell | 12.7% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Laura Marshall | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 24.8% | 36.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 21.9% | 14.9% |
| Carl Fixsen | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 27.1% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.