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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.20+1.75vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.62+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.69+0.58vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.61-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.04-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.76-2.98vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.76-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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3.66Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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3.71Northwestern University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Oregon0.040.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Pruitt | 29.4% | 22.5% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Ashley Vincent | 13.3% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 5.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 14.6% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 4.6% |
| George Powell | 14.7% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 4.4% |
| Laura Marshall | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 57.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 28.1% | 23.9% |
| Christopher Fuller | 19.8% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.