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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.69+2.61vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.62+1.75vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.61+0.80vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.20-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.19-3.06vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.04-2.00vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.76-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Washington1.690.2%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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3.8Northwestern University1.610.1%1st Place
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2.91Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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2.94University of Washington2.190.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Oregon0.040.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Flanagan | 15.5% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 5.8% |
| Ashley Vincent | 12.2% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 5.3% |
| George Powell | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 6.1% |
| Casey Pruitt | 25.2% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Forcade | 24.4% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Laura Marshall | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 57.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 31.2% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.