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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+6.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.56+7.78vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.40+0.75vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+2.77vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.56-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.95-1.03vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.20+1.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.36+1.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+2.24vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.18-2.29vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.38-1.61vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39-2.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.68-0.16vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.47-10.36vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.41-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.8%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.303.5%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Berkeley-0.562.4%1st Place
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4.75University of Southern California1.4012.7%1st Place
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7.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Hawaii1.5619.4%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Davis0.958.2%1st Place
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9.79Northwestern University-0.202.7%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Irvine-0.362.2%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Washington0.183.9%1st Place
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10.39California State University Channel Islands-0.382.5%1st Place
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10.97Arizona State University-0.391.9%1st Place
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13.84University of California at San Diego-1.680.6%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Santa Barbara1.4714.2%1st Place
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7.75University of Texas0.415.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 6.7% |
| Luke Harris | 12.7% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Trey Summers | 19.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 18.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| Grace Richie | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 47.5% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.