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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.62+2.71vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.20+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.69-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.19-2.05vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.61-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.04-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.76-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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2.85Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Washington1.690.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Washington2.190.2%1st Place
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3.83Northwestern University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Oregon0.040.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Vincent | 14.8% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 6.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 25.0% | 23.4% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 15.1% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 4.9% |
| Zachary Forcade | 24.1% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| George Powell | 11.8% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 7.4% |
| Laura Marshall | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 57.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 31.1% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.