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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.76+2.05vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.62+1.27vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.61-0.70vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.20-2.49vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.76-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.04-1.45vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.15-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
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3.27Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.3Northwestern University1.610.2%1st Place
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2.51Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.64University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Oregon0.040.0%1st Place
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5.68Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 21.2% | 22.2% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 16.6% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| George Powell | 17.9% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Casey Pruitt | 32.3% | 23.3% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 24.9% | 21.7% | 13.2% |
| Laura Marshall | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 27.9% | 35.6% |
| Carl Fixsen | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 24.2% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.