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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.62+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.76+0.10vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.20-1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.04+0.59vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.15-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.76-2.39vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.61-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.1University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
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2.46Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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5.59University of Oregon0.040.0%1st Place
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5.81Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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3.17Northwestern University1.610.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Vincent | 18.2% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Fuller | 18.4% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Casey Pruitt | 30.8% | 26.7% | 20.4% | 13.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Laura Marshall | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 31.0% | 34.8% |
| Carl Fixsen | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 26.6% | 45.2% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 25.1% | 20.9% | 13.9% |
| George Powell | 20.5% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.