Race 3A

yale-fall-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Wilson Kaznoski 4.2% 4.0% 5.2% 5.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.9% 8.9% 11.2% 12.6% 11.6% 11.5% 5.1%
Connor Macken 9.8% 10.1% 9.4% 11.2% 10.4% 10.8% 10.6% 8.5% 7.5% 5.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Andrew White 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.6% 6.0% 7.6% 14.4% 54.9%
Blake Behrens 21.6% 19.1% 16.7% 13.0% 9.8% 7.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Tavia Smith 8.5% 8.3% 8.1% 10.7% 9.8% 9.4% 9.3% 9.4% 8.4% 6.8% 6.1% 4.0% 1.1%
Jakub Fuja 5.9% 5.3% 5.9% 6.8% 6.8% 8.3% 9.2% 10.8% 11.2% 10.3% 9.5% 7.3% 2.6%
Martins Atilla 16.5% 14.2% 14.7% 14.0% 10.6% 9.8% 7.6% 4.9% 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Alexandra Chigas 6.6% 8.2% 9.4% 8.7% 10.2% 10.0% 10.0% 8.8% 9.3% 8.8% 6.2% 3.1% 0.8%
Caylin Schnoor 3.9% 5.1% 5.5% 5.5% 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 9.6% 10.8% 10.2% 11.8% 10.3% 5.0%
Reid Nelson 3.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.4% 4.2% 5.9% 6.5% 7.6% 8.2% 11.6% 14.8% 15.4% 10.0%
Laura Hamilton 13.1% 13.1% 11.7% 11.2% 12.6% 10.4% 9.0% 7.3% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Nolan Cooper 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 7.0% 7.1% 8.0% 9.1% 10.9% 11.2% 12.7% 10.4% 4.8%
Beck Lorsch 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.2% 4.7% 4.3% 5.5% 8.0% 7.4% 9.7% 13.1% 20.8% 15.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.