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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+3.48vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.95+3.99vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57+1.78vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.37+3.90vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.64-0.98vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.58-1.87vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.85-1.03vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University0.18+0.63vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.41+2.13vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.73-3.90vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-0.02-1.86vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+0.59vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.92-1.43vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.63-3.08vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-1.30vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-0.46-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9College of Charleston2.3817.9%1st Place
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5.48University of South Florida1.4510.1%1st Place
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6.99Rollins College0.956.8%1st Place
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5.78North Carolina State University1.5710.2%1st Place
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8.9Florida State University0.373.2%1st Place
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5.02University of Miami1.6414.1%1st Place
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5.13Jacksonville University1.5812.2%1st Place
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6.97Eckerd College0.857.1%1st Place
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9.63Wake Forest University0.182.7%1st Place
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12.13The Citadel-0.411.4%1st Place
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7.1Clemson University0.736.4%1st Place
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10.14Auburn University-0.022.1%1st Place
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13.59Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.6%1st Place
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12.57University of North Carolina-0.921.8%1st Place
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11.92Duke University-0.631.6%1st Place
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14.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.6%1st Place
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13.06University of Central Florida-0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 17.9% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Henry Parker | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 7.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 20.6% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 10.7% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 20.3% | 38.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.