Race 7A

yale-fall-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Wilson Kaznoski 4.5% 4.2% 5.5% 4.7% 8.0% 7.2% 8.0% 8.9% 9.8% 11.5% 11.7% 11.2% 4.8%
Tavia Smith 8.2% 8.3% 8.8% 9.8% 8.2% 9.0% 10.7% 10.1% 9.3% 7.5% 5.8% 3.3% 0.8%
Blake Behrens 21.9% 19.4% 15.1% 13.1% 11.5% 6.7% 5.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Martins Atilla 16.6% 14.5% 15.8% 11.8% 12.0% 9.8% 7.0% 5.1% 4.0% 1.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Laura Hamilton 12.7% 14.4% 12.7% 12.3% 10.3% 9.4% 9.2% 7.2% 5.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Connor Macken 9.8% 10.0% 10.5% 12.3% 11.5% 10.8% 8.9% 9.4% 6.8% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Alexandra Chigas 7.3% 7.2% 7.7% 8.6% 9.5% 11.2% 10.4% 9.1% 9.2% 8.3% 6.2% 3.9% 1.4%
Reid Nelson 2.9% 3.0% 3.6% 4.5% 4.2% 5.9% 6.6% 8.5% 8.9% 12.2% 13.8% 16.0% 9.7%
Andrew White 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 7.8% 13.8% 54.6%
Caylin Schnoor 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 8.2% 10.2% 10.7% 13.0% 10.4% 6.0%
Jakub Fuja 4.9% 6.2% 5.5% 6.0% 7.3% 8.5% 9.1% 10.7% 10.2% 10.8% 11.2% 7.3% 2.2%
Beck Lorsch 2.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 6.2% 6.0% 8.9% 11.2% 13.5% 20.4% 14.7%
Nolan Cooper 3.9% 5.1% 4.9% 6.2% 5.9% 7.6% 7.6% 9.8% 10.4% 12.1% 10.7% 10.9% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.