Race 8A

yale-fall-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Martins Atilla 15.7% 16.0% 14.4% 11.9% 11.6% 8.9% 7.9% 5.3% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 5.8% 7.1% 7.0% 8.0% 8.9% 10.5% 10.5% 11.8% 10.9% 5.5%
Reid Nelson 3.4% 3.9% 3.8% 5.2% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 8.7% 8.8% 10.1% 12.4% 16.2% 10.7%
Blake Behrens 22.1% 18.3% 16.0% 15.0% 8.6% 7.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jakub Fuja 5.6% 6.0% 6.0% 7.5% 6.0% 8.2% 9.2% 9.7% 9.5% 11.5% 9.8% 8.2% 2.7%
Tavia Smith 7.0% 7.2% 10.3% 8.1% 10.7% 10.4% 10.5% 8.8% 8.6% 7.6% 5.5% 3.8% 1.4%
Laura Hamilton 13.9% 12.4% 12.2% 11.8% 11.5% 11.2% 8.8% 7.0% 4.5% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Connor Macken 9.0% 11.2% 10.1% 10.1% 11.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.1% 7.8% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.3%
Alexandra Chigas 7.0% 7.8% 7.4% 8.1% 8.7% 9.9% 11.2% 10.3% 10.1% 8.5% 6.9% 3.3% 0.9%
Andrew White 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.4% 3.3% 4.8% 5.1% 8.1% 13.9% 53.3%
Beck Lorsch 2.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 3.8% 4.3% 5.1% 8.0% 8.9% 10.7% 12.9% 19.9% 14.9%
Caylin Schnoor 4.7% 5.0% 4.5% 6.1% 6.3% 7.2% 8.7% 8.0% 9.7% 11.3% 12.5% 10.5% 5.4%
Nolan Cooper 4.0% 4.1% 5.3% 5.8% 7.5% 8.8% 7.6% 8.4% 10.5% 11.1% 12.2% 10.0% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.