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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.18+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83-0.24vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.86+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.31-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.55-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of Washington1.1823.9%1st Place
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1.76University of Washington1.8348.4%1st Place
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4.36Western Washington University-0.863.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Washington-0.314.8%1st Place
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2.57University of Washington-2.5519.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Thomas | 23.9% | 29.6% | 31.1% | 12.6% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Stone | 48.4% | 32.1% | 14.6% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Annelisa Ayars | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 25.9% | 60.5% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.8% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 40.6% | 33.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 19.9% | 26.1% | 34.3% | 16.3% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.