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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+0.80vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.18+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.31+0.87vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.86+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.55-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8University of Washington1.8346.4%1st Place
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2.43University of Washington1.1823.9%1st Place
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3.87University of Washington-0.315.5%1st Place
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4.32Western Washington University-0.863.4%1st Place
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2.59University of Washington-2.5520.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 46.4% | 33.0% | 15.8% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Owen Thomas | 23.9% | 29.2% | 30.2% | 13.8% | 2.9% |
| Kieran Lyons | 5.5% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 39.9% | 32.8% |
| Annelisa Ayars | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 24.3% | 59.5% |
| Maxwell Miller | 20.9% | 25.1% | 32.0% | 17.6% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.