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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+4.11vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.58+3.05vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+0.76vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.95+2.82vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.45+0.64vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.57-0.34vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.37+1.80vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-0.02+2.25vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.73-1.75vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.73+2.22vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.18-1.39vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+1.63vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.92-0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-1.12vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.63-3.04vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-1.23vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.85-10.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11University of Miami1.6413.4%1st Place
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5.05Jacksonville University1.5811.3%1st Place
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3.76College of Charleston2.3821.7%1st Place
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6.82Rollins College0.956.2%1st Place
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5.64University of South Florida1.459.1%1st Place
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5.66North Carolina State University1.579.8%1st Place
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8.8Florida State University0.373.0%1st Place
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10.25Auburn University-0.022.9%1st Place
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7.25Clemson University0.736.2%1st Place
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12.22The Citadel-0.731.3%1st Place
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9.61Wake Forest University0.182.9%1st Place
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13.63Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
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12.67University of North Carolina-0.920.9%1st Place
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12.88University of Central Florida-0.461.4%1st Place
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11.96Duke University-0.631.6%1st Place
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14.77University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.6%1st Place
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6.92Eckerd College0.856.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 21.7% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 20.3% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 9.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.3% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 6.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 18.9% | 41.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.