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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.07+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.01+0.22vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.03+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.18-0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.36-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Washington1.0734.0%1st Place
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2.22University of Washington1.0134.2%1st Place
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3.48Western Washington University0.0310.0%1st Place
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3.24University of Washington0.1814.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Washington-0.367.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 34.0% | 29.6% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 3.8% |
| Adrian Salamon | 34.2% | 29.6% | 20.3% | 11.4% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 25.7% | 28.5% |
| Jaden Unruh | 14.1% | 16.4% | 22.4% | 25.8% | 21.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 7.8% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 24.8% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.