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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.01+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.36-0.19vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.03-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Washington1.0132.4%1st Place
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2.21University of Washington1.0734.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Washington0.1813.7%1st Place
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3.81University of Washington-0.367.8%1st Place
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3.42Western Washington University0.0311.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Salamon | 32.4% | 28.9% | 21.6% | 12.7% | 4.4% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 34.2% | 30.2% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 3.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 13.7% | 16.0% | 21.7% | 25.4% | 23.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 7.8% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 24.8% | 41.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 11.9% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 25.5% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.