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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+3.62vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.81+2.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+2.06vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.61+0.93vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.83-2.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-2.80vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.75-2.20vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.48-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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5.62University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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5.7Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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3.46Eckerd College3.830.2%1st Place
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4.2Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.8Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.2Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 16.0% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.6% |
| Lauren Burke | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| Katherine Doble | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 21.9% |
| Christine Porter | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 21.9% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 21.2% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.8% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.