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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.85vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.95+4.83vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.57+2.74vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.58+1.03vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73+2.31vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.64-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.45-1.31vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University0.18+1.45vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+4.67vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.73+2.16vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-0.02-0.78vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.63+0.01vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.46+0.08vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.92-1.50vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.34vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.37-7.19vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.85-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85College of Charleston2.3819.5%1st Place
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6.83Rollins College0.957.0%1st Place
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5.74North Carolina State University1.5710.4%1st Place
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5.03Jacksonville University1.5812.6%1st Place
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7.31Clemson University0.736.9%1st Place
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5.12University of Miami1.6411.5%1st Place
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5.69University of South Florida1.4510.1%1st Place
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9.45Wake Forest University0.183.3%1st Place
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13.67Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
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12.16The Citadel-0.731.5%1st Place
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10.22Auburn University-0.021.9%1st Place
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12.01Duke University-0.631.7%1st Place
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13.08University of Central Florida-0.460.9%1st Place
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12.5University of North Carolina-0.921.1%1st Place
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14.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.4%1st Place
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8.81Florida State University0.373.6%1st Place
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6.87Eckerd College0.856.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 19.5% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 21.9% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| Henry Ryan | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 12.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 39.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.