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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.83+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+3.60vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.81+2.73vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.75+1.63vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.08vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-1.91vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61-0.91vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-3.73vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Eckerd College3.830.2%1st Place
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5.6University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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3.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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4.09Yale University3.500.2%1st Place
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6.09University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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4.27Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cara Vavolotis | 20.3% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 16.9% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 15.9% |
| Caroline Patten | 17.7% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Christine Porter | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 20.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Katherine Doble | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.