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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+3.81vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.37+6.06vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+3.17vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+1.07vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.57-0.26vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-0.04vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-2.78vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-0.02+1.33vs Predicted
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10Wake Forest University0.18-0.40vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.73-3.75vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+1.80vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.33-4.18vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.63-1.76vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-1.81vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.99vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.92-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88College of Charleston2.3820.6%1st Place
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5.81University of South Florida1.459.3%1st Place
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9.06Florida State University0.373.8%1st Place
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7.17Eckerd College0.855.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Miami1.939.7%1st Place
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5.74North Carolina State University1.579.2%1st Place
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6.96Rollins College0.956.9%1st Place
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5.22Jacksonville University-1.3812.9%1st Place
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10.33Auburn University-0.023.2%1st Place
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9.6Wake Forest University0.183.0%1st Place
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7.25Clemson University0.736.9%1st Place
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13.8Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.7%1st Place
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8.82The Citadel0.334.4%1st Place
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12.24Duke University-0.631.5%1st Place
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13.19University of Central Florida-0.460.8%1st Place
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15.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.4%1st Place
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12.85University of North Carolina-0.921.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 20.6% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ryan | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Ruth Palmer | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 21.0% | 20.8% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 6.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 13.3% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 44.6% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.