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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+1.86vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+1.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+0.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41-1.69vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-0.21vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.30-0.01vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.10-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.04Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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3.13Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.64Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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5.79Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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6.99Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.25Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 24.3% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 20.9% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 20.1% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 13.1% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 24.6% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 44.0% | 23.2% | 6.8% |
| Andrew Gronet | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 14.0% | 38.5% | 40.0% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 8.8% | 32.4% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.