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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+5.66vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+7.62vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+1.32vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.58vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.30-1.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.95vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26+2.65vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-1.92vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.69vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.02-3.37vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84+1.49vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.70-0.52vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.87vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-2.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.26vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.13-2.32vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.49-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Boston College2.097.6%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida1.093.6%1st Place
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4.32Dartmouth College2.7516.5%1st Place
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.5%1st Place
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3.58Stanford University3.3023.9%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.0%1st Place
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9.65North Carolina State University1.264.2%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.209.0%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.2%1st Place
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6.63Tulane University2.027.9%1st Place
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12.49Christopher Newport University-0.841.6%1st Place
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11.48University of Wisconsin0.701.8%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.8%1st Place
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11.23Old Dominion University0.952.1%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.4%1st Place
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13.68University of Vermont-0.130.7%1st Place
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11.88Roger Williams University0.491.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.9% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 29.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.