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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+1.24vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.16+0.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52-0.88vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55-1.91vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-0.20vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.30-0.01vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.10-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.24University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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3.63Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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3.12Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.09Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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5.8Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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6.99Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.26Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 24.4% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 18.1% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Urska Kosir | 13.8% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 23.3% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 20.5% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 19.4% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 44.5% | 23.2% | 6.9% |
| Andrew Gronet | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 13.6% | 39.0% | 39.9% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 9.1% | 32.5% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.