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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+1.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.19+3.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41-1.08vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55-2.23vs Predicted
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7Williams College1.47-1.63vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.30-1.25vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.10-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Brown University3.640.3%1st Place
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5.73Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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2.8Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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2.77Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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5.37Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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6.75Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.08Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 27.5% | 24.6% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Feldman | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 22.0% | 31.2% | 22.4% | 9.5% |
| Willem Sandberg | 22.3% | 22.6% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 20.4% | 21.1% | 22.3% | 22.3% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 22.8% | 23.5% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 27.8% | 31.5% | 15.7% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Gronet | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 33.4% | 35.8% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 13.3% | 26.7% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.