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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+2.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+0.95vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+0.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52-0.87vs Predicted
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5Williams College1.47+0.83vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.30-0.06vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.10-0.71vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.16-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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2.95Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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3.13Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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5.83Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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6.94Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.29Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.55Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IG Schottlaender | 20.1% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 6.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 22.7% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 18.3% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Willem Sandberg | 20.3% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 44.1% | 26.1% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Gronet | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 14.6% | 40.8% | 36.1% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 8.5% | 28.4% | 57.2% |
| Urska Kosir | 14.9% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 21.4% | 10.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.