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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.61vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+3.65vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.26+5.68vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.65vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+5.12vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20-0.85vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.67vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.09-0.42vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-6.68vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.02-5.40vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13+0.61vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-2.17vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.24vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.57vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Stanford University3.3021.1%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College2.098.1%1st Place
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9.68North Carolina State University1.262.2%1st Place
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8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.5%1st Place
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11.12Old Dominion University0.952.0%1st Place
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6.15Georgetown University2.209.0%1st Place
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9.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.7%1st Place
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9.58University of South Florida1.093.8%1st Place
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4.32Dartmouth College2.7517.8%1st Place
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6.6Tulane University2.028.2%1st Place
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13.61University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University0.491.7%1st Place
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12.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.5%1st Place
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12.43Christopher Newport University-0.841.6%1st Place
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11.44University of Wisconsin0.702.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.1% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.8% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 30.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.