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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+2.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+0.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+0.12vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16-0.38vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55-1.89vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-0.20vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.10-0.69vs Predicted
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9Bentley University0.30-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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2.91Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.12Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.62Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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3.11Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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5.8Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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7.31Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.93Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 19.4% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 23.0% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 20.1% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 10.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 20.2% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 43.1% | 23.9% | 7.1% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 9.6% | 26.2% | 59.1% |
| Andrew Gronet | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 14.3% | 44.0% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.