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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+1.28vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.55+0.09vs Predicted
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4Williams College1.47+1.82vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.16-1.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.52-2.93vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.30-0.02vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.10-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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3.09Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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5.82Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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3.62Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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3.07Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.98Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.26Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 24.0% | 22.0% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 5.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 17.6% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 8.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 20.9% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 42.9% | 25.5% | 6.7% |
| Urska Kosir | 12.6% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 22.7% | 10.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 21.4% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Gronet | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 14.0% | 38.6% | 39.5% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 9.5% | 31.2% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.