← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College3.83+2.50vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.61+4.29vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.48+1.27vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.50+0.10vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.08vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.56+0.11vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.81-1.34vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.75-2.23vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.93-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.5Eckerd College3.830.2%1st Place
-
6.29University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
-
4.27Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
4.1Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
3.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
-
6.11Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
5.66Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.77Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.38University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cara Vavolotis | 20.9% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Christine Porter | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 24.5% |
| Briana Provancha | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 14.6% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Patten | 17.3% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Katherine Doble | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 21.3% |
| Lauren Burke | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 17.7% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.