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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.25vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+2.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+3.69vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30-0.48vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.22vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.26+1.73vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.53vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.81vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.13+2.72vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.02-5.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-1.19vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-3.00vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.54vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.09-6.44vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Georgetown University2.208.8%1st Place
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4.29Dartmouth College2.7517.5%1st Place
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6.69Boston College2.097.0%1st Place
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3.52Stanford University3.3023.4%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.0%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.5%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.8%1st Place
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9.73North Carolina State University1.263.9%1st Place
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12.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.2%1st Place
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9.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.2%1st Place
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13.72University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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6.8Tulane University2.027.5%1st Place
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11.81Roger Williams University0.491.7%1st Place
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11.0Old Dominion University0.952.1%1st Place
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12.46Christopher Newport University-0.841.1%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida1.093.8%1st Place
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11.56University of Wisconsin0.701.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.4% | 20.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 31.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.