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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.16+2.57vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+1.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41-0.73vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.52-1.86vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-0.20vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.30-1.02vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.10-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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3.04Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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2.95Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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3.14Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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5.8Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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6.98Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.25Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 14.3% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 20.2% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 23.5% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 17.7% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Willem Sandberg | 20.1% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 44.1% | 23.4% | 6.9% |
| Andrew Gronet | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 13.4% | 38.8% | 40.0% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 9.4% | 31.9% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.