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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+1.26vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.55+0.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52-0.88vs Predicted
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5Bentley University0.30+1.98vs Predicted
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7Williams College1.47-1.19vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.10-0.72vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.16-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.26University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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3.07Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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3.12Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.98Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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5.81Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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7.28Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.55Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 21.8% | 22.2% | 22.0% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 17.5% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 20.7% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Willem Sandberg | 20.7% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gronet | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 14.4% | 42.0% | 36.5% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 12.4% | 43.3% | 24.8% | 6.3% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 10.0% | 27.9% | 56.8% |
| Urska Kosir | 15.1% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.