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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+2.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+0.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+0.11vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55-0.90vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-0.20vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.16-3.42vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.30-1.00vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.10-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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2.94Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.11Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.1Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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5.8Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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3.58Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.0Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.26Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 18.8% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 21.5% | 22.8% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 21.2% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 19.8% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 11.1% | 44.1% | 25.0% | 5.9% |
| Urska Kosir | 15.0% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 22.9% | 10.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Gronet | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 14.2% | 37.6% | 40.8% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 9.5% | 31.8% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.