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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+1.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+0.26vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55-0.91vs Predicted
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5Williams College1.47+0.80vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.16-2.41vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.300.00vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.10-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.11Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.26University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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3.09Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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5.8Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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3.59Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.0Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.26Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 23.8% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 19.3% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 18.9% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 20.0% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 5.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 11.1% | 44.1% | 25.1% | 5.9% |
| Urska Kosir | 14.6% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 10.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Gronet | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 14.1% | 37.7% | 40.8% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 9.6% | 31.7% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.