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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+2.00vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+0.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41-0.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.16-1.38vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-0.30vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.30-0.19vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.86-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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2.91Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.12Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.25University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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3.62Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.7Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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6.81Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.6Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IG Schottlaender | 22.1% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 22.5% | 22.3% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 20.1% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 18.5% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 12.9% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 22.0% | 11.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 12.1% | 48.2% | 22.2% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Gronet | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 15.4% | 52.7% | 24.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 4.3% | 20.3% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.