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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+5.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+1.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+0.43vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26+4.58vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.02+0.62vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.05vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.52vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95+1.91vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.81vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.70+0.69vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-5.83vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-0.89vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-5.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.40vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.09-6.59vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.13-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Boston College2.098.6%1st Place
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3.59Stanford University3.3022.5%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.5%1st Place
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4.43Dartmouth College2.7517.1%1st Place
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9.58North Carolina State University1.263.0%1st Place
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6.62Tulane University2.027.4%1st Place
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9.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.7%1st Place
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12.52Christopher Newport University-0.841.5%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University0.952.5%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.2%1st Place
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11.69University of Wisconsin0.701.5%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University2.208.6%1st Place
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12.11Roger Williams University0.491.6%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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12.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.5%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida1.093.8%1st Place
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13.65University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 22.5% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 12.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 17.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.