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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+1.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64-0.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52-0.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.16-1.37vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-0.27vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.86+0.60vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.30-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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2.95Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.1Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.63Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.73Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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7.6Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.79Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IG Schottlaender | 22.3% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 18.1% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 22.7% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 21.1% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Urska Kosir | 12.1% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 23.1% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 12.4% | 46.7% | 23.6% | 3.4% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 4.5% | 17.0% | 75.5% |
| Andrew Gronet | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 16.3% | 55.1% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.