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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+1.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+0.11vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16-0.38vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55-1.91vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-0.30vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.30-0.19vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.86-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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3.11Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.62Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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3.09Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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5.7Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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6.81Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.59Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 24.2% | 23.0% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 17.9% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 20.6% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 13.5% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 24.4% | 9.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 19.8% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 48.7% | 22.0% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Gronet | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 15.9% | 52.6% | 24.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 20.3% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.