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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+1.86vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+0.73vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64-0.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52-1.22vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.19+0.61vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-0.70vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.30-0.42vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.86-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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2.73Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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2.63Brown University3.640.3%1st Place
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2.78Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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5.61Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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5.3Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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6.58Bentley University0.300.0%1st Place
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7.51Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 21.3% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 23.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 22.5% | 24.2% | 23.7% | 19.2% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 26.8% | 22.3% | 24.9% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 23.0% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 22.5% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Feldman | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 23.8% | 34.3% | 23.1% | 3.9% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 29.8% | 33.0% | 13.7% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Gronet | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 8.8% | 19.3% | 42.8% | 22.6% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 18.9% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.