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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.72vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+4.48vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+6.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+0.34vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+1.06vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.02+0.68vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+3.83vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.91vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.49+1.68vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.34vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13+1.37vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.30-9.54vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.70-2.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.50vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-4.06vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.4%1st Place
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6.48Boston College2.098.6%1st Place
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9.3North Carolina State University1.263.8%1st Place
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4.34Dartmouth College2.7515.9%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University2.208.9%1st Place
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6.68Tulane University2.027.1%1st Place
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10.83Old Dominion University0.952.6%1st Place
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12.16Christopher Newport University-0.841.7%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.1%1st Place
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11.68Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.6%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
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3.46Stanford University3.3023.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Wisconsin0.701.5%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.5%1st Place
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11.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.7%1st Place
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9.39University of South Florida1.093.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.9% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 26.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.1% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 16.9% |
| Brook Wood | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.