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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.29+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.77+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01-0.49vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.25-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.21+0.66vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.60+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago1.00-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Wisconsin1.290.2%1st Place
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2.83University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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2.51University of Minnesota2.010.3%1st Place
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3.62Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Wisconsin-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.04Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Tobias | 16.1% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Natalie Sinn | 23.6% | 22.5% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 29.5% | 27.3% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| David Kluger | 14.5% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 21.4% | 10.6% | 3.0% |
| Jared Ottmann | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 32.3% | 36.7% |
| Philip Niles | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 25.4% | 52.5% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.