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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85+1.90vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay2.30+1.54vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.74-0.02vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-2.14vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-2.10vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.74-3.02vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay2.30-3.46vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis2.13-4.29vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University2.74-6.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis2.13-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.2%1st Place
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3.54California State University Monterey Bay2.300.1%1st Place
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2.98Santa Clara University2.740.2%1st Place
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1.86California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.5%1st Place
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2.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.2%1st Place
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2.98Santa Clara University2.740.2%1st Place
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3.54California State University Monterey Bay2.300.1%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
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2.98Santa Clara University2.740.2%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Soper | 17.5% | 23.3% | 25.8% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 9.0% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 26.9% | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 16.5% | 21.6% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 48.3% | 27.9% | 15.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Soper | 17.5% | 23.3% | 25.8% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 16.5% | 21.6% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 9.0% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 26.9% | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 24.7% | 38.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 16.5% | 21.6% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 24.7% | 38.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.