← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.38+2.90vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami1.93+3.96vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University0.37+6.00vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College0.85+3.15vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University-1.38+0.21vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.45-0.05vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.95+0.10vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University1.57-2.30vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel0.33-0.01vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.73-2.63vs Predicted
-
11Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+2.80vs Predicted
-
12Auburn University-0.02-1.67vs Predicted
-
13University of Central Florida-0.46+0.15vs Predicted
-
14Wake Forest University0.18-4.48vs Predicted
-
15Duke University-0.63-2.75vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina-0.92-3.18vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.9College of Charleston2.3821.5%1st Place
-
5.96University of Miami1.938.6%1st Place
-
9.0Florida State University0.373.8%1st Place
-
7.15Eckerd College0.855.9%1st Place
-
5.21Jacksonville University-1.3810.8%1st Place
-
5.95University of South Florida1.459.8%1st Place
-
7.1Rollins College0.956.8%1st Place
-
5.7North Carolina State University1.5710.9%1st Place
-
8.99The Citadel0.333.7%1st Place
-
7.37Clemson University0.736.4%1st Place
-
13.8Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
-
10.33Auburn University-0.022.9%1st Place
-
13.15University of Central Florida-0.461.0%1st Place
-
9.52Wake Forest University0.184.2%1st Place
-
12.25Duke University-0.631.2%1st Place
-
12.82University of North Carolina-0.921.3%1st Place
-
14.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 21.5% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 15.2% |
| Ruth Palmer | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 11.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.